K. George Kordalis — Age 33 — Lacks The Age, Background, And Experience Needed To Serve As Common Pleas Judge

Someone named “Emily” responding to my post — Susan Solle Has The Experience And Maturity We Need In A Montgomery County Common Pleas Judge — She Has My Vote — saying the K. George Kordalis would make a better judge than Susan Solle.  I responded asking for more information and I said that at age 33, Mr. Kordalis just seems much too young to aspire to be elected judge.

Emily

Mike, I appreciate your perspective but cannot help but wonder if you are a practicing attorney in our community. If you were, I am sure you would know that years in practice do not always equal relevant experience. While it is clear that Ms. Solle has been in practice for a long time, it is also clear that she has zero experience in criminal law and very little experience actually litigating cases. While Mr. Kordalis doesn’t have as many “years under his belt” he has invaluable, hands on experience in the very Court he will be presiding in. I have been a prosecutor and a private attorney and I can say without hesitation that Mr. Kordalis is the right choice. I implore you to reach beyond party lines (it appears from your other articles that you support all things Democrat) and make the right choice for our Montgomery County Common Pleas Court.

Emily — thanks for responding.

To make this post, I read everything I could concerning Susan Solle and K. George Kordalis. I wanted to give a fair report, so I just repeated the information in the candidate’s own words as shown in their web-sites — Solle and Kordalis — and Vote411 Voter Guide.

The Vote411 Voter Guide, asks the question: “List your judicial experience (courts and years)” and this is Mr. Kordalis’ reply: “Currently I have not had experience as a judicial officer. Nonetheless, I know that I possess the experience, work-ethic, and temperament that is needed to be Common Pleas Judge.”

In this statement, Mr. Kordalis is claiming that his work-ethic, and temperament are what makes him prepared to be a judge. That, to me, seems quite a stretch. Mr. Kordalis appears to be a nice young man and I wish him well but, at age 33, my conclusion is that Kordalis Lacks The Age, Background And Experience Needed To Serve As Common Pleas Judge.

I agree with you, that, “years in practice do not always equal relevant experience.” Of course not. But you should agree with me that insufficient years of practice produces insufficient experience. And for a judge, I think experience is essential. Growth in any profession comes through experience and, all things being equal, an attorney with eighteen years of successful experience (Solle) is much more likely to be ready for judgeship than an attorney with eight years (Kordalis).

An attorney, at age 33, who aspires to be a judge would need to be a super star. Mr. Kordalis just doesn’t have the credentials to make such a claim and he doesn’t try. His website shows him as just another young and ambitious attorney starting out. He evidently didn’t even graduate with honors from U.D. Law School — his website says nothing about his academic work. Susan Solle, on the other hand, writes that she “graduated high school from Kettering Fairmont, 1986; BA from Oglethorpe University in Atlanta, GA, Magna Cum Laude, 1994; JD from University of Dayton School of Law, Cum Laude, 1999.”

It’s OK to not graduate with honors. And I imagine you could find a lot of attorneys and judges with great careers who didn’t have stellar academic accomplishments. But, without such a background, I’ve got to think that seeking election to a judgeship at age 33 shows amazing over-confidence and such a decision it is evidence of bad judgement, or cynicism for the process — or both. Maybe he listened to some bad advice.

I first met Susan Solle at a South of Dayton Democratic Club Meeting and I was very impressed that she is very genuine. I have complete confidence she will make a very good judge. I have her sign in my front yard.

Since you’ve not identified yourself with your last name, I guess you could be a 350 pound man sitting on your bed just writing stuff. But please respond.

Finally, please clear up a mystery. You claim that Mr. Kordalis “has invaluable, hands on experience in the very Court he will be presiding in.” But, here is the mystery: This claim of invaluable experience — “in the very Court he will be presiding in” — is no-where to be found on Mr. Kordalis’ web-site. It is no-where to be found on Vote411 Voter Guide. In fact, again, in answer to the question, “List your judicial experience (courts and years),” Susan Solle give a detailed answer telling of her experience, but Mr. Kordalis writes: “Currently I have not had experience as a judicial officer. Nonetheless, I know that I possess the experience, work-ethic, and temperament that is needed to be Common Pleas Judge.”

Why would Mr. Kordalis fail to mention the experience that you claim?

Share
Posted in Local/Metro | Leave a comment

The MCDP Challenge — Increasing Voter Turn-out In The Strongest Democratic Precincts in Montgomery County

In 2016, Hillary Clinton lost Montgomery County to Donald Trump by only 893 votes (Out of 261, 989 votes cast).

We know that Democratic turn-out is the key for Democrats to win elections and the question for the Montgomery County Democratic Party is finding a way to increase turn-out in the strongest Democratic precincts in the county.

For the entire county, turn-out was 70.3%, but, Democratic precincts had a lower turn-out than the average and Republican precincts had a higher turn-out.

Hillary won 116 precincts of the 360 precincts in the county. The turn-out for these 116 precincts was 62.4%. 

Trump won 244 precincts and in Trump’s precincts the turn-out was 73.4%.

 

Comparing the Top 40 Precincts

The forty strongest Democratic precincts voted for Hillary at an amazing rate of 94.8% — Turn-out in these strong Democratic precincts was 62.1%

The forty strongest Republican precincts voted for Trump at a rate of 76.1%  — Turn-out for these strong Republican precincts was 74.7%

So, here is the calculation:  If the 40 strongest Democratic precincts had voted at the same turn-out percentage as the 40 strongest Republican precincts, 4,552 more votes would have been cast.in those strong Democratic precincts. If these additional votes also had matched the rate for this precincts — 94.8% for Hillary — the Democratic ticket would have had a net gain of 4078 votes.

The 40 Strongest Democratic Precincts (In Descending Order)

 

Share
Posted in Local/Metro | Leave a comment

Susan Solle Has The Experience And Maturity We Need In A Montgomery County Common Pleas Judge — She Has My Vote

I am telling my neighbors and friends to vote for Susan Solle for Montgomery County Common Pleas Judge. I have her yard sign in my yard. Solle has the proven experience, maturity and temperament that will make her a wise and fair judge.

Voters have a choice for Montgomery County Common Pleas Court judge — between Susan Solle and K. George Kordalis. The responsibilities for this position: To preside at trials of both civil and criminal cases; to supervise the jury commission, grand jury, and other departments of the court. Term of office: 6 years.

One reason Solle gets my vote is she is has deep and significant experience in the legal profession. Solle is 51 years old and has been practicing law since 1999. Kordalis is 32 years old and has been practicing law since 2012. Both are graduates of U.D. Law school.

Kordalis writes on his website: “I was born and raised in Montgomery County. I Graduated from Centerville High School and continued on to graduate from The Ohio State University. After college, I returned to Dayton to attend The University of Dayton School of Law. Upon graduating Law School, I started my own law firm, Kordalis Law Office, LLC. I have built a successful practice representing members of the community in criminal and civil matters in Montgomery County Common Pleas Court as well as many other Courts throughout Ohio.”

Solle writes:Graduated high school from Kettering Fairmont, 1986; BA from Oglethorpe University in Atlanta, GA, Magna Cum Laude, 1994; JD from University of Dayton School of Law, Cum Laude, 1999;  Experience Practicing civil litigation attorney for 18 years, the past 16 at Dinsmore & Shohl. Staff attorney at 2nd District Court of Appeals 1999-2002. Law clerk for Montgomery County Common Pleas Court 1998-1999. Insurance Claim Representative with Prudential Insurance Company 1987-1996. Typed Montgomery County Court transcripts from 1987-2002.”

Solle was unopposed in the Democratic Primary and won with 26,980 votes.  Kordalis was unopposed in the Republican Primary and won with 21,877 votes.

Solle ran for election to the Montgomery County Court of Common Pleas in 2014. She received 46.1 percent of the vote, but was defeated by incumbent Judge Dennis J. Adkins. Solle is an attorney at Dinsmore & Shohl LLP, helping people with Business Litigation issues. Dinsmore & Shohl LLP has an office in Dayton, Ohio, serving the local community. Solle was selected to Rising Stars for 2006 – 2007. Rising Stars is an exclusive list of top-rated attorneys in specific practice areas who were chosen after thorough evaluation of numerous criteria.

K. George Kordalis is an attorney providing legal services covering Criminal Defense, Criminal Defense: DUI / DWI and Personal Injury – General: Plaintiff and Family Law. Kordalis was selected to Rising Stars for 2020 – 2021.

Susan Solle

List your judicial experience (Courts and Years)

Vote411 Voter Guide gave candidates the opportunity to tell in their own words about their experience and motivation:

Susan D. Solle: “I served as an Acting Judge in Montgomery County Municipal Court from 2010-2014 handling misdemeanor criminal, felony arraignments and small civil cases. I worked as a staff attorney for the Honorable Judge Brogan on the Second District Court Appeals from 1999-2002, writing decisions for criminal, civil, domestic relations, juvenile and probate appeals from all of the courts in six counties. I assisted the Honorable Judge David Sunderland of the Montgomery County Common Pleas Court as a law clerk while in law school from 1998-1999, also writing decisions in all areas of the law handled by the Court. I interned with the Montgomery County Domestic Relations Court during law school in 1998.”

K. George Kordalis: “Currently I have not had experience as a judicial officer. Nonetheless, I know that I possess the experience, work-ethic, and temperament that is needed to be Common Pleas Judge.”

 Why are you running for this particular court seat?

K. George Kordalis

Susan D. Solle: “The Honorable Judge Gorman, whose is retiring at the end of this year, is someone I have looked up to since I was in law school and working in the Common Pleas Court. I am running for her open seat because I am the right person to continue her tradition of excellence in the Court. Practicing in various courts outside of Montgomery County, I have encountered too many jurists who do not have the experience, temperament or dedication to effectively handle their cases. I have all three. I have the experience and intelligence to fully grasp every case that will be litigated in my courtroom. I also have the right temperament to treat each litigant and attorney who appears before me with the respect and kindness they deserve, while still maintaining the necessary strength and control. Finally, I understand the demands of this position, and will work hard to ensure that every person or entity appearing in my court will receive the attention necessary to bring their matter to timely and proper resolution. This county deserves a judge who is experienced and dedicated, and I am the candidate who will bring these qualities to the Montgomery County Common Pleas Court.”

K. George Kordalis: “I am running because Montgomery County needs judges with experience, that are hardworking, and that have the right temperament to get things done fairly, consistently and efficiently. I pride myself on being able to listen to both sides fairly and to think carefully before speaking and making decisions.

I believe it is important to have experienced, knowledgeable judges to handle the extensive and diverse Montgomery County Court of Common Pleas caseload. I also believe that judges should promote public confidence in the integrity and impartiality of the judiciary without regard to a person’s race, gender, or other personal characteristics.

In private practice I have always attempted to treat everyone fairly and with courtesy and respect. If elected, I will ensure this occurs in my courtroom. My wife, Kasey Kordalis, and myself are lifelong residents of this community. This community has given my family so much and I will work hard to make sure that Montgomery County remains a great place to live.”

So, there you have it. Kordalis says that we need “judges with experience, that are hardworking, and that have the right temperament to get things done fairly, consistently and efficiently.” I agree. That is why I’m voting for Susan Solle.

Solle is an obviously better choice. She has the experience, maturity and temperament that we want in our judges. I’m thinking most voters will agree with me that, for the position of judge, citizens will be better served by a person with more experience and age than Kordalis has to offer. Kordalis seems a nice young man. He is getting his name out there at age 32. I’m betting that he has a bright future in the Republican Party. But, clearly, in this election, the better choice for who should be honored and trusted with the position of judge, by far, is Susan Solle.

Share
Posted in Local/Metro | 2 Comments

Mike Turner Votes With Donald Trump 94.4% Of The Time — Much More Than Trump’s Support In The District

FiveThirtyEight shows that Mike Turner votes according to Donald Trump’s  dictates 94.4% of the time.  According to the FiveThirtyEight analysis, because Trump won OH-10 by 7.3%, a representative for the district would be expected to vote with Trump most of the time (68.7%) — but not, practically, all of the time (94.4%).

I’m wondering why Turner has gone over-board in voting according to the wishes of Donald Trump? Has he been afraid of losing the Republican Primary to an even more faithful Trumpster?

The FiveThirtyEight  site breaks down all of the votes:

 

Share
Posted in Local/Metro | Leave a comment

Note To Mark Fogel: Your Key To Winning OSD-06 Is Explaining Your Plan For “Servant Leadership”

I just made a $25 contribution to the Mark Fogel Campaign, so I’m feeling entitled to start giving Mark advice.

From Mark’s website: “As a young man, my need to serve and desire to fly meant only one thing: going to the Air Force Academy and I was honored to be nominated to attend by Congressman Tony Hall and US Senator John Glenn. At the Academy I learned first-hand what hard work, leadership, and integrity truly mean. Beyond academics, I ran track, was elected a student leader, and became a peer counselor and advocate in the University’s sexual assault prevention organization.
With hard work and the support of my peers, I graduated cum laude and earned a spot at Air Force pilot training. As a member of the first graduating class to serve after 9/11, the next 12 years as an active duty Air Force officer were the honor of a lifetime. While stationed overseas as an F-15 pilot, I deployed multiple times throughout Europe and the Middle East, having achieved my dream of flying and serving my country.”

Mark —

I am pitching in $25 for your campaign and I’d love to see you win District 06.

I believe that the key to your winning the district is found in your website. You make these declarations:

  1. “With the right leadership, we can turn the tide and create the New Ohio we deserve!”
  2. “I am running for State Senate because I want to bring experienced servant leadership to our state politics.”

I believe developing these declarations with a specific action plan is the key to your winning this election.

You are saying that the “right leadership” is “servant leadership” and that, whereas, our current political leadership is not sufficient to resolve the needs and to answer the challenges and crises of our time, servant leadership will be successful and will turn the tide.

That is a powerful claim and the more that you can help voters grasp the meaning of these words —  and, the more that voters understand and believe these declarations — the more likely it is that you will flip this district.

You need a plan. Without a plan, you are simply articulating political speech, as is expected of most candidates.

You can show that you are the exceptional candidate, and, you can flip the vote of thoughtful Republican leaning voters, by giving a well-thought-out answer to this question:

Mr Fogel, please explain what you mean by servant leadership and please explain your plan for using servant leadership in such a way that, in District 06, we “turn the tide and create the New Ohio we deserve.”

This is a great writing prompt. I’m feeling inspired to attempt to prepare an extended answer for discussion — asking for Mark’s response — and, tying in with ideas developed in the Democratic Primary by Albert Griggs:

Share
Posted in Local/Metro | Leave a comment

His Was The “Fresh, Non-white Face” The Republican Party Wanted — Six Years Later, Peggy Lehner Rejected Him

Republican Niraj Antani — Representative for Ohio House District 42, since 2014. Regardless that Lehner rejected his candidacy for the Ohio Senate, Antani won the Republican nomination and now is the Republican candidate seeking  to represent Senate District Six. Mark Fogel is the Democrat seeking election for that same office.

Republican Ohio State Senator, Peggy Lehner represents District 06. She is now 70 (August 5). But I’d bet she is not ready to retire. She is intensely engaged in her work and is very popular with her constituents — but she is term limited. She has served four years in the House and eight years in the Senate.

You’d think that Ohio Senator Peggy Lehner — term-limited — would have endorsed Representative Niraj Antani to replace her in the Ohio Senate (District 06). Both right-wing Republicans, they had worked closely together for six years — he in the Ohio House and she in the Ohio Senate — advancing some of the most controversial anti-abortion legislation in the nation.

Antani wanted Lehner’s endorsement, but, instead, in the 2020 Republican Primary, Lehner urged Republicans to reject Antani’s candidacy and to vote for another rising young Republican, Rachel Selby, to be the Republican Party candidate for District 06.

In 2014, when Antani became a member of the Ohio House at age 23, Lehner no doubt had had great hopes for her young colleague — He was a determined conservative, a child of immigrant Indian parents. He was eager to help every Republican candidate. She, no doubt, agreed with Dave Landon, the vice chair of the party’s executive committee, who said, “Antani’s election says that we’re willing to look to young people to play a role … That we’re looking for a fresh face, a non-white face.”

They seemed like such a couple. Who wrote the book of love? In chapter one, Antani and Lehner were inseparable in their passion to craft ever more extreme anti-abortion public policies. They pushed the “heartbeat bill” and just last year they advanced “The Abortion Pill Reversal Information Act” — legislation opposed by the The American College of Obstetricians and Gynecology. From the Ohio Legislative watch:

Sen. Peggy Lehner, R-Kettering and Rep. Niraj Antani, R-Miamisburg, are introducing identical legislation in the Senate and  House. This bill will promote pseudo-science “abortion pill reversals,” requiring doctors prescribing medication abortions, which are performed up to 10 weeks into a pregnancy, to provide information about a procedure to reverse abortions in the event the woman changes her mind. The concept is controversial and doesn’t have FDA approval.

But in chapter two, they broke up. Lehner dumped Antani and it was all because of guns. Angry words were spoken. Laura Bischoff in an April 19, 2020 DDN article quotes Antani as saying: “Lehner and I disagree on the 2nd Amendment. I believe in supporting the 2nd Amendment. She believes in gun control. I’m not willing to compromise on that issue. And I believe that’s why she endorsed my opponent.”

Words hurt. So Cruel, so unkind. What a harsh, unfair, accusation — “She believes in gun control.” You can hear Lehner’s fellow NRA members laughing out loud.

Lehner’s decision to reject Antani’s candidacy was, in part, a response to the shockwaves of public outrage from the events of August 4, 2019 — the night that nine fellow Daytonians, out for a nice evening in the Oregon District, in seconds were shot to death with an awesome gun. (See: 26 shot in 32 seconds)

Weighing on Lehner’s decision had to be the memory of the shouts of the crowds who gathered to tell Governor DeWine to: Do Something. Do something. Do Something.

After the August 4 mass shooting, Governor DeWine, two weeks later, responded to the “Do Something” cries and made some specific recommendations for new gun laws. Lehner supported Gov. DeWine’s proposals and Antani opposed them. Antani’s stubbornness may have been the final straw for Lehner. This from the August 18, 2019 DDN: Ohio lawmakers mixed for law changes from shooting:

In the Senate 16 members — evenly divided by party — support the governor’s red flag proposal. In the House 23 Democrats and two Republicans said they support it.

State Sen. Peggy Lehner, R-Kettering said she supports all of Gov. DeWine’s proposals and considers the red flag and universal background check proposals “to be the most urgent and potentially most life-saving.”

“In addition, I support a ban on high capacity magazines and assault weapons. These are probably more effective at federal level,” Lehner said. …

Of those surveyed, only State Rep. Niraj Antani, R-Miamisburg said outright that he is against DeWine’s red flag proposal.

“The proposal lacks necessary due process,” Antani said. “We must address the growing culture of violence in our society, all of it. We must create a comprehensive system to get treatment to those who have violent tendencies.”

Dissatisfied with politicians’ offers of thoughts and prayers after more than 250 mass shootings so far this year, advocates for changing U.S. gun laws spoke out loudly on Sunday — many of them shouting a simple command to their public servants: “Do something!”
Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine heard it during a Sunday night vigil for victims of the mass shooting in Dayton. His speech was partly drowned out by many in the large crowd repeatedly shouting, “Do something!”

I think it was after this article that Lehner decided to dump Antani. Lehner is no dummy and she had to be thinking: In this atmosphere of public outrage, it would politically crazy to endorse a gun zealot “not willing to compromise.”

In her April 19, 2020 article, Gun laws: Where local Statehouse candidates stand, Laura Bischoff writes:

“Niraj Antani, a Republican state representative from Miamisburg, holds an A+ rating and endorsement from the Buckeye Firearms Association. He is undecided on DeWine’s Strong Ohio plan, though he is endorsed by DeWine for the Senate seat. Antani opposes bans on assault weapons and high-capacity magazines, as well as red flag laws. He favors enacting a stand your ground law and supports eliminating training and background checks for people who want to carry concealed weapons.”

I’m thinking that Lehner turned against Antani because she feared in the wake of the August 4, 2019 shooting that his unbridled gun zealotry could result in the Republicans losing District Six — in the control of the party since 1985.

The problem for Lehner was not just Antani’s clueless response to the August 4 shooting. It’s what had happened in 2018 that had made Antani look like a real gun nut.  In 2018, Antani had gained national notoriety — and brought ridicule to the defenders of the 2nd Amendment — get this, by advocating that 18 year old students should be permitted to take their guns with them to their high schools. Yes, read that again.

This from a DDN article printed March 16, 2018 written by Will Garbe:

“Law-abiding high school students age 18 years or older should be able to carry long guns inside public high schools,” state Rep. Niraj Antani, R-Miamisburg, told the Dayton Daily News in an interview Thursday.

The issue came up during a Twitter dispute Wednesday between the state lawmaker and Zach Dickerson, a Democratic primary candidate for the District 42 seat Antani currently holds.

Antani has long advocated allowing college students to carry firearms on campuses, but the shooting deaths of 17 people at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Fla., have injected into the national conversation a new round of debate about the place of weapons in American high schools.

“Students deserve a chance to stand their ground and defend themselves.” — Rep. Niraj Antani (@NirajAntani) March 14, 2018 (A tweet now unavailable)

Antani maintains he was not advocating arming high school students, but rather said students should have the option of carrying long guns in school if they meet the legal criteria to do so.

“The law is anybody above 21 can have a handgun and anybody above 18 can have a long gun, and so anyone who complies with the law should be able to carry and protect themselves,” Antani told the Daily News. “If you look at what happened many decades ago, people brought their firearms to school. They kept them in their cars, maybe, but there was not a problem.”

“My view is that anyone who is of age should be able to carry a firearm wherever they want,” Antani said. “The only restriction I believe in is for private property.”

Antani cited a “cultural difference” between urban and rural communities for differing opinions about guns.

“You go out to Valley View, in my district, you go shooting against a rock in your backyard … it’s part of the culture there, it’s not a big deal,” Antani said. “Of course, in inner-city Dayton Public it would be a big deal, but there is a cultural difference … In rural America, there is a culture of carrying firearms safely. In any urban area, such as Dayton Public, there is not. In Dayton, unfortunately, there is a lot of gang violence, and firearms are used improperly.”

From a DDN Article printed March 16, 2018: Ohio lawmaker stands by gun-carrying students comment despite critics:

“Yesterday, I learned a lesson,” Antani posted on Twitter. “A reporter asked me a question about (Second) Amendment issues. I told the reporter I believed that gun-free zones do not work, and that every law-abiding person who is of age has a right to carry to defend themselves. I am not advocating the arming of students.”

In a Twitter exchange Wednesday with a Democratic General Assembly candidate, Antani said, “Students deserve a chance to stand their ground and defend themselves.” The comments came as thousands of local students walked out of class following the mass shooting at a Parkland, Fla., high school.

The article reports that Republican Senator Rob Portman made this comment: “There’s a federal law requiring that there be no weapons, not even within a certain distance of schools, and I think that’s appropriate.” He was referring to the Gun-Free School Zones Act approved by Congress and signed into law by George H.W Bush in 1990.

The DDN article continues:

Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley, a Democrat, said by phone Friday that Antani is “looking to be the next NRA puppet.”
“It is clear from his comment he doesn’t have a good understanding of the gun issue in both rural and urban communities, and it’s clear that he’s not being thoughtful about the conversations these young people are having,” Whaley said.

Democratic gubernatorial candidate Dennis Kucinich called Antani’s comments “sheer madness.”

“Sanity and safety demand that we not encourage more weapons in our schools and that we outlaw assault weapons,” Kucinich said. “This is an urgent matter of public health and safety. We must not wait for another incident.”

August 4, 2019. There was shocking gun violence in the Oregon District in Dayton, Ohio — 26 shots were fired in just 32 seconds, leaving nine dead and many wounded.

In 2016, Peggy Lehner was designated by the Columbus Monthly as the “most compassionate” of the Assembly members. But, Peggy Lehner dumped Antani — compassionately, I suppose. She knows that there is a growing number of Republicans who agree with her and who want sensible gun laws.

Lehner rejected the Antani candidacy. She knows that there is a growing number of citizens who have images of August 4, 2019 — and images of similar horrific acts of gun violence — burned into their brains, and who are fed up with pro-gun lobby.  She knows that it is dumb for the Republican Party to choose someone as their candidate who is a proud and outspoken pro-gun extremist.

Peggy doesn’t want the anti-guns zealots to ruin it for the anti-abortion zealots. She rejected Antani’s campaign out of conscience and out of her unshakable belief that to be pro-life is much, much more important than to be pro-gun.

Regardless of Peggy Lehner’s efforts to advocate for Rachel Selby, Niraj Antani won the Republican Primary by over 40% points. He spent the money needed to win. I have Republican neighbors who, five weeks in a row, received a full-color expensive mailing from Antani. I’ve not yet looked up how much he spent, but it was a lot.

Will Peggy give Niraj just one more chance?

Peggy has good reason to fear that, after 35 years of Republican control, District 06 might go Democratic in 2020. Antani has a lot of baggage. If Republicans had listened to Lehner, and had nominated Rachel Selby, there would have been no problem. Selby had no negatives and would have been unbeatable. I’m guessing she would have won by 60% to 40%.

Antani, on the other hand, in his six years has accumulated many negatives by, again and again, advancing extreme legislation and by making outlandish statements. If he loses District Six for the Republicans, Peggy Lehner can say that at least she tried to give the warning. Few Republican Primary voters took heed.

The Democratic candidate, Mark Fogel, can take whatever he would have won in a Selby contest and consider it his base. If the Republican candidate had been a man, rather than a woman, I would have guessed the outcome to be 57% to 43%. So 43% is Fogel’s base. To add to this base, one good place to start would be to find those Republican voters who care about reasonable gun policies. Yes, these people exist and Peggy Lehner is one of them. These Republicans are probably already identified in someone’s mailing list.

These Republicans, who agree with Peggy Lehner’s ideas about limited gun control, know that, with Antani, they don’t stand a chance of impacting public policies concerning guns. Antani is on record as saying: “I’m not willing to compromise on that issue.” Unlike Lehner, Antani will not be open to reason, and then he’ll praise himself for his unreasonable intransigence. He has established for himself quite a reputation as a hardliner, so much so, he couldn’t find a way to work with our conservative Republican Governor concerning reasonable gun law changes — in the context of public outcries about a horrible — and local — gun disaster, to boot. Concerning guns, Antani is un-movable.

Daytonians gather to mourn the loss of those taken by senseless gun violence

Let’s suppose that 40% of Republican voters agree with Peggy Lehner concerning guns. And let’s suppose that 15% of that group will push back against an Antani candidacy by voting Democratic. Building on the 57% to 43%, established above,  just this one negative — Niraj’s pro-gun extremism — according to these modest assumptions, delivers a 53.58% to 46.42% contest. But that is just a start. The Mark Fogel campaign has many Niraj Antani negatives to explore — all based on Antani’s heartfelt views.

OK — I’m going to award Mark three more percentage points, this from contemplation of why he, as Mark Fogel, the individual, can be expected to surpass the norm: 1% for his cum laude credentials and his record of service; 1% because this contest will become a focus of public attention, to Mark’s advantage, and 1% because Mark’s plan for “servant leadership” will make the difference.  Now, the result is  50.58% to 49.42%

OK. “Servant Leadership” is key and this philosophy / promise, I believe, will be a big source of strength for Mark in this campaign. I’m doubling his gain in this category — 2%, rather than 1% — the result: 48.52% for Niraj and 51.42% for Mark. As the Beetles proclaimed: We can work it out. Life is very short. We can make our democracy work. We can work it out.

This will be the election of our lifetime and this contest for Ohio Senate District Six could be a watershed event. We have two bright, talented, and articulate young men — Niraj is 29 and Mark is 40 — whose POV’s give wonderful depth and contrast. This contest should be a great opportunity for a meaningful District-wide discussion of topics dealing with important public policies and issues. It should be a great opportunity to begin to understand each other’s competing points of view. It should be a great opportunity to make our democracy come alive.

Antani’s website doesn’t show a list of his endorsers, so I can’t tell if Peggy ever officially endorsed Niraj. Regardless, I’m guessing Peggy will urge the citizens of OSD-06 to support Antani’s candidacy. Peggy Lehner’s big passion is for pro-life action. Regardless of Niraj’s stubborn obtuseness concerning guns, she’ll give him one more chance. Peggy knows that, if elected, Niraj will be a spokesperson for anti-abortion extremism and that he will be on the cutting edge in finding new ways to insult and to challenge Roe v Wade.

 

How Niraj Antani Won Election At Age 23

In 2014, Terry Blair, the elected representative for OHD-42, died at age 67. He had just won the 2014 Republican Primary election for a fourth term. The Central Committee of the Montgomery County Republican Party was empowered by state law to name Blair’s replacement on the ballot. There were five candidates. Only sixty-five Republicans voted and it took four rounds of votes to eventually settle on a winner. Niraj Antani finally got a majority of the Central Committee members to support his candidacy. His extreme right-wing views on guns, abortion, and taxes, especially taxes, gained him the support of Rob Scott and Committee members loyal to Scott and the local Tea Party organization. Since a Republican always wins OHD-42, these 65 Republicans got to choose who would represent the 115,000 citizens (80,000 registered voters) in the district.  In the general election in 2014, Antani beat Democrat Patrick Merris 64% to 36%.  In 2018, he defeated Democrat Zach Dickerson by 59.3% to 40.7%.

Share
Posted in Local/Metro | Leave a comment