The Destiny Of Character

Phillips Brooks was 30 years old in 1865 when he delivered his sermon on the death of Abraham Lincoln saying,  “The more we see of events, the less we come to believe in any fate or destiny except the destiny of character. …”  See: The Destiny Of Character Gives Hope That In Humanity’s Dark Streets Can Shine An “Everlasting Light”

Futurist Ray Kurzweil predicts that by 2045 — in a mere 33 years — computers will be billions of times more intelligent than humans.  He compares this watershed time in human history to a reality of physics, a “singularity,” an event so enormous in power that it is impossible to gauge, impossible to see beyond.

The power of computer per unit cost doubles every 11 months. Thirty doublings results in more than a billion fold increase. This means that powerful computers will become the size of red blood cells. Medicine will be transformed. Transportation, energy, and the economy will be transformed. The implications of the coming Singularity are breathtaking. I’m reminded of a famous quote about quantum theory:  “If you are not astounded by this truth, then you do not understand it.” Kurzweil writes, “When people look at the implications of ongoing exponential growth, it gets harder and harder to accept…. They fall off the horse at some point because the implications are too fantastic.”

When we try to imagine the future, we simply cannot think big enough.

The coming singularity means that today’s children, well before they reach middle age, will be living in a the world stunningly different from the world they live in today. My premise, for the book I promised to write during my 2009 campaign for Kettering School Board — “Kettering Public Education In 2030” — is that, in response to their understanding of the coming singularity, a local community transforms its system of public education.

Wow. Talk about outlandish fiction. But the idea is that a vision of a fictional change process may serve an an inspiration for actual change. If I ever run for school board again, I want to present a blueprint for system transformation as a foundation for discussion.

I’m wondering if it might be fun to try to write the book as a work of science fiction, from the POV of an advanced computer writing in 2045. I sent this outline to my web-designer friend:

Project: Design a front and back cover for a new book

Title: The Destiny Of Character

Subtitle:   Kettering Public Education In 2030

Genre: Science Fiction

Possible Blurbs:

  • As the singularity approaches, humanity scrambles to redefine intelligence and to redefine what it means to be educated.
  • In 2045, in response to the query, “Why?” a research computer prints a report entitled, “Kettering Public Education In 2030.”
  • In the future — when the best architects, engineers, designers and scientists all will be machines — human education will center on the formation and development of human character. Becoming fully human, becoming effective citizens, will become the aims of education.

I got a good chuckle at the book design I received back. It communicates the message, I guess, that in the rough seas, as our ship approaches the singularity, human destiny will be guided by passion, by instincts, by character.

 

 

 

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In Mont. County, All School Districts, Except Oakwood, Will Lose “Excellent” Rating — If SB-316 Is Adopted

The orange bar shows how many schools have the grade currently, the blue bar shows the new grading system

If the new school evaluation system outlined in Senate Bill 316 is approved, most of Ohio’s school districts will be downgraded. In Montgomery County, under the current system nine public school districts are rated “Excellent” or “Excellent with Distinction.”

With the new system, only Oakwood will receive the top grade of “A.” All other Montgomery County schools that now post banners declaring that they are “Excellent,” or “Excellent With Distinction” will be graded “B.” And Vandalia Butler, which now is judged “Excellent” will fall to a grade of “C.”

The new system is based on four components. Each component is graded “A” through “F,” with an “A” worth 4 points, and “B” worth 3 points, etc. For a district to get the “A” grade the total average must be 3.75 or above — meaning 3 “A’s” and 1 “B,” or all “A’s.”

The four components: 1) Percentage of State Indicators Met, 2) Performance Index, 3)Achievement and Graduation Gap and 4) Value-Added.

 

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“Workers Face A Wage Deficit, Not A Skills Deficit” — Says Lawrence Mishel Of Economic Policy Institute

The huge increase in productivity has created great wealth for the 1%, but, with the decimation of the unions, the U.S. has failed to create public policies that would find a way for the middle class and working class to have a fair share. This graph stops at 2006, but since then the gap has grown even larger.

Those who pay the fiddler call the tune and the tune we keep hearing again and again is that if only corporations had more freedom, less taxes, things would be better. And, we keep hearing that the main problem with our economy is the low skills of workers and the failure of our public educational system to properly educate students for jobs requiring Science, Technology, Engineering and Math. The elite who want to keep this tune playing have a lot to gain via public brainwashing.

While the powerful gobble up the incredible increases in wealth now being produced in this country they like to say: “Hey buddy, if you had worked a little harder in your high school math class, maybe you’d now have a better job.” Perfect. And our politicians who serve as lackeys for the elite, repeat the message with fervor. They blame teachers, public schools. They push the idea that our way forward is a focus on STEM education, big increases in college enrollment, and their solution for everything is more market freedom, more privatization.

We are immersed in the propaganda that the ruling class wants us to hear and this propaganda presents a reality that is mostly false. Any voice of thoughtfulness is shouted down by think tank “intellectuals” who have prostituted themselves to their ruling class overlords. Reality may start to get our attention by tapping politely on our shoulder, but eventually it hits us over the head, and many who now, through no fault of their own, find themselves among the working poor — no money, no insurance, no hope — are ready to hear what reality has to say.

Lawrence Mishel of the Economic Policy Institute is the voice of reason when he writes: “The huge increase in wage and income inequality experienced over the last 30 years is not a reflection of a shortfall in the skills and education of the workforce. Rather, workers face a wage deficit, not a skills deficit.” He says it is nonsense that we should blame the worker, because such blame is misplaced. Mishel writes:

“We increasingly hear or read claims that we have a serious structural unemployment problem, even to the extent of claiming that most of the unemployed beyond a normal (full-employment) rate face structural problems in finding work. This argument implies that unemployment difficulties reside in the workers who are unemployed: they either are located in the wrong place or do not have the required skills for the currently available jobs. If this is so, then macroeconomic tools such as fiscal policy (spending or tax cuts) or monetary policy cannot address our unemployment or long-term unemployment situation. But surprisingly, perhaps amazingly, there is no systematic empirical evidence for such assertions. …

The challenge, in my view, is to provide a much broader path to prosperity, one that encompasses those at every education level. The nation’s productivity has grown a great deal in the last 30 years, up 80% from 1979 to 2009, and such productivity growth or better can be expected in the future. Yet with all the income generated in the past and expected in the future it is difficult to explain why more people have not seen rapid income growth. It is not the economy that has limited or will limit strong income growth, but rather the economic policies pursued and the distribution of economic and political power that are the limiting factors. for lack of skills and that this argument is a foil meant to suppress the action that is actually needed.”

I became acquainted with Mishel when Stan Hirtle responded to my post “Let’s Reject Phoney Ideas About Prosperity And Start Discussing The Future Of The Working Class.” Stan pointed to this article:  “Schools as Scapegoats.” Some excerpts:

“American middle-class living standards are threatened, not because workers lack competitive skills but because the richest among us have seized the fruits of productivity growth, deny- ing fair shares to the working- and middle-class Americans, educated in American schools, who have created the additional national wealth. Over the last few decades, wages of college graduates overall have increased, but some college gradu- ates—managers, executives, white-collar sales workers—have commandeered disproportionate shares, with little left over for scientists, engineers, teachers, computer programmers, and others with high levels of skill. No amount of school reform can undo policies that redirect wealth generated by skilled workers to profits and executive bonuses. …

Statistically, the falling real wages of high school graduates has played a bigger part in boosting the college-to-high-school wage ratio than has an unmet demand for college graduates. Important causes of this decline have been the weakening of labor market institutions, such as the minimum wage and unions, which once boosted the pay of high school–educated workers. …

Another too glib canard is that our education system used to be acceptable because students could graduate from high school (or even drop out) and still support families with good manufacturing jobs. Today, those jobs are vanishing, and with them the chance of middle-class incomes for those without good educations….

It’s true that many manufacturing jobs have disappeared. But replacements have mostly been equally unskilled or semi- skilled jobs in service and retail sectors. There was never anything more inherently valuable in working in a factory assembly line than in changing bed linens in a hotel. What made semiskilled manufacturing jobs desirable was that many (though not most) were protected by unions, provided pensions and health insurance, and compensated with decent wages. That today’s working class doesn’t get similar protections has nothing to do with the adequacy of its education. Rather, it has everything to do with policy decisions stemming from the value we place on equality. Hotel jobs that pay $20 an hour, with health and pension benefits (rather than $10 an hour without benefits), typically do so because of union organization, not because maids earned bachelor’s degrees….

It is cynical to tell millions of Americans who work (and who will continue to be needed to work) in low-level administrative jobs and in janitorial, food-service, hospitality, transportation, and retail industries that their wages have stagnated because their educations are inadequate for international competition. The quality of our civic, cultural, community, and family lives demands school improvement, but barriers to unionization have more to do with low wages than does the quality of education. …

In a paper recently posted on the National Bureau of Eco- nomic Research’s Web site, Massachusetts Institute of Tech- nology economists Frank Levy and Peter Temin wrote, “The current trend toward greater inequality in America is primarily the result of a change in economic policy that took place in the late 1970s and early 1980s.” They went on to say that “the recent impacts of technology and trade have been amplified by the col- lapse of these institutions,” by which they mean the suppression of unions and the abandonment of the norm of equality.

These are not problems that can be solved by charter schools, teacher accountability, or any other school intervention. A balanced human capital policy would involve schools, but would require tax, regulatory, and labor market reforms as well.”

 

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