The MCDP Should Target These Forty Precincts For An Intense GOTV Effort

To generate the list of Top forty precincts for a proposed Montgomery County Democratic Get Out The Vote effort, I manipulated a matrix that contains a lot of voting data for each of Montgomery County’s 360 precincts. I loaded this data by hand from the Board of Elections webpage some time ago.

First, I sorted the 360 precincts to find all of those precincts that voted for Hillary Clinton by a rate of 65% or more. This produced a list of 77 precincts. On this list of 77 strong Democratic precincts, the highest percentage that a Montgomery Count precincts voted for Hillary is an amazing 98.4% voting, and the lowest is 67.5%. The average for the group is 90.6%

Next, of these 77 strongly Democratic precincts, I found the 40 that had the lowest voting rates in 2014 — the election that parallel’s this year’s election. The turn-out for these 40 precincts in 2014 was a measly 25.2%. Think of it, only one-fourth of registered voters in these heavily Democratic precincts exercised their right to vote. This was even worse, much worse, than the anemic turn-out for the whole county which was 39.9%. (The lowest percentage of turn-out in this list is a shocking 16.7% !)

These 40 precincts with their 36,000 registered voters have the potential of producing a lot of Democratic votes. But, the problem is, if these precincts vote as the same rate as they did in 2014, about three-fourths of the registered voters — 27,000 — will not vote. If all of these 27,000 missing voters actually voted, however, about 10% or 2700 would go Republican and about 90%, or 24,300, would go Democratic — a net gain for Democrats of a whopping 24,300 votes !

Using data not shown in this graph, it looks like about 67% of registered Democrats in these 40 precincts voted in 2014 — a big improvement overall turn-out rate of 25.2%, but this means that in 2014, about one-third of registered Democrats stayed home !  This failure of Dems to vote meant that in just these 40 precincts, the Dems lost 2468 votes.

The challenge is to create a strong GOTV plan.

This shows the last few lines of the graph with the summation. :

The headings to the columns are: Precinct Name, Ohio House District, Precinct Leader, Roll in 2012, Vote in 2012, % in 2012, Roll in 2016, Vote in 2016, % in 2016, Dems registered in precinct in 2016, % of vote for Hillary 2016, Roll in 2014, Vote in 2014, % vote in 2014, % of voters who are Dems, % vote for Obama in 2012

Posted in Local/Metro | 4 Comments

Democrats Should Challenge Republicans To A Get Out The Vote Contest

I’d like to see the Montgomery County Democratic Party challenge the Montgomery County Republican Party to a Get Out The Vote contest. I’m working on drafting a proposal for the Central Committee to consider that outlines a contest between the 75 precincts in Montgomery County with the highest percentage votes for Hillary vs the 75 precincts with the highest percentage votes for Trump.

The competition would focus on increasing voter turnout as compared to the 2014 rates.

  • The 75 Hillary precincts had a turnout in 2014 of 31.7%. Amazingly, there were 50,301 registered voters in these 75 precincts who failed to exercise their right and responsibility as a citizen to vote.
  • The 75 Trump precincts had a turnout in 2014 of 43.3%. There were 43,610 registered voters in these precincts who failed to vote.

Think of it, in these 150 precincts there were 93,911 citizens who failed to honor their duty as a citizen to vote. Wouldn’t it be great if all of those citizens voted in 2018?

Of course a effective system of representative democracy requires more than simply voting. It requires for citizens to take seriously the office that they hold — the office of citizen — and to work to be well informed and meaningfully connected with other citizens. Rather than a GOTV, what would be better is a GOTICV — Get Out The Informed Citizen Voter. I’m trying to think through a contest design that rewards participants for efforts to inform and engage citizens.

Posted in Local/Metro | Leave a comment

When To Lawyer Up – Workers’ Compensation

When Should You Ask For Help? When Should You Call A Lawyer? Any time you’re in a dispute with the insurance company, you should consider hiring a lawyer to represent you. You will need to gather evidence in order to challenge the insurance company’s position, which may include taking depositions, requesting an independent medical examination, and hiring expert witnesses all of which require legal knowledge and skill. And as a general rule, you should call a lawyer’s office to discuss your insurance problems. There is a good chance that the company will be willing to discuss your case, and you will have the advantage of speaking with a lawyer who is not affiliated with the company. It may also be that the company has made its position clear. In any event, it’s always wise to know the basics of the law before engaging in an activity like calling an insurance lawyer.

A medical liability policy covers most claims that may arise from your medical conditions. However, some medical conditions are more difficult to insure against than others, and will require more professional and physical help than others. Many workers’ comp cases come down to the determination of whether or not your employer has met its responsibility in insuring that you aren’t taking any risks in a physical environment.
When your insurer refuses to pay your claim, you may be faced with the difficult decision of not only filing a claim, but also of traveling to the state where your insurer’s office is located. Many insurance companies don’t have offices in every state, and it can be very difficult to find a lawyer who can understand your case and will be prepared to argue your case before a jury. For the majority of workers’ comp cases, hiring a law firm for workers compensation cases is a smart idea. Additionally, some state laws govern how workers’ comp cases are litigated, which may necessitate you getting a lawyer as well.

How To Avoid Negligence
When accidents happen, it is almost always the case that the worker was intoxicated, mismanaged the workplace, failed to properly train his or her employees, or failed to properly maintain the equipment. If the employer had known about the problems in these areas, the result would have been different. Sometimes workers’ comp cases can be hampered by the fact that a worker did not pay attention to the workplace hazard, or was unaware of the potential consequences of his or her actions. The circumstances of some accidents and incidents can be complicated, and cannot always be described as negligence.

Some situations involve issues that are considered to be “negligent.” These include:

  • An employee who was distracted from his or her work, either because of fatigue or a temporary illness
  • an employee whose employer deliberately set a dangerous work condition, such as lighting the fire hazard
  • An employee who was unable to take proper precautions, such as having a fire extinguisher at the right height or using a slip-and-fall-prone floor
  • An employee who was distracted by a mobile telephone, cigarette, or other electronic device at the time of a serious accident
  • An employee who was at fault for an accident involving bodily injury or death. Even if a worker’s death resulted from a lack of care or a combination of factors not present in a typical accident, the case may be complicated by the fact that the accident happened at an employee’s workplace.

And since an accident occurs at a workplace, the law of negligence applies at the workplace. It is also important to note that if you are found guilty of negligent conduct, the maximum potential penalty is about $15,000 in restitution, which may not seem like much, but is almost never paid to the worker’s family. Note that the employer cannot be held responsible for negligence. Also, note that the damages can vary depending on the facts of the case. For example, you may be entitled to a large sum because you had medical bills or a damaged vehicle. Your employer should have provided you with a medical condition insurance policy. This policy may allow you to sue the employer for damages. Make sure your insurance company has all of the details of your policy. See also: Is Workers’ Comp Job Injury Compensation About Damages? Learn about how to use your Workers’ Comp benefits to obtain more financial security when you are unemployed.

If you have a severe or permanent injury, your insurance company will be the primary place that you turn to for any legal dispute, including a claim for Workers’ Compensation benefits. Even if you aren’t likely to seek workers’ compensation benefits, the insurance companies may end up paying the judgment anyway. That means that you are likely to have a high likelihood of an adverse decision on your workers’ compensation claim and you need to protect yourself. That’s why you need driving directions to the Boston Office of Jason Stone Injury Lawyers to help you fight for your workers’ compensation payments.

Be sure to check with an insurance attorney if you’re not quite sure about the facts of your case. For more information call boston workers compensation lawyer for your workers’ compensation claims.

Posted in Local/Metro | Leave a comment